Calvin Ridley Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Calvin Ridley

NFL · Player Props

Calvin Ridley

WR · Jacksonville Jaguars

Receiving Yards

Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 9, 2023 12:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Calvin Ridley Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (-129/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 61.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 54.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jaguars are a 5.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Jaguars to pass on 61.7% of their plays: the 7th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
The Jaguars have called the 9th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 61.5 plays per game.
Calvin Ridley has run a route on 88.0% of his offense's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
In this week's game, Calvin Ridley is anticipated by our trusted projection set to land in the 84th percentile when it comes to WRs with 7.4 targets.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Jaguars to call the 9th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 28.8 pass attempts per game against the Bills defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.
With a poor 54.0% Adjusted Completion Rate (18th percentile) this year, Calvin Ridley has been among the least sure-handed receivers in football among WRs.
This year, the tough Bills defense has allowed a meager 113.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing WRs: the 2nd-fewest in the league.
Since the start of last season, the fierce Buffalo Bills pass defense has given up the least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing wideouts: a measly 3.3 YAC.

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