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Calvin Austin III

Calvin Austin III Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New York Giants

Calvin Austin III Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-185/+140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -185.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Steelers have called the 6th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 59.7 plays per game.

The weather forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

Calvin Austin has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (58.9% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (40.3%).

This year, the poor Giants pass defense has been gouged for a massive 70.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wide receivers: the worst rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Steelers are a 3-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Steelers to pass on 49.0% of their opportunities: the lowest clip among all teams this week.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 124.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing teams have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game versus the Giants defense this year: fewest in the NFL.

With a feeble 1.5 adjusted catches per game (22nd percentile) this year, Calvin Austin places among the weakest WRs in the NFL in the NFL.

More Calvin Austin III Player Props

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