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Calvin Austin III

Calvin Austin III Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New York Jets

Calvin Austin III Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+120/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -160.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (2-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may drop.

Calvin Austin has gone out for fewer passes this year (57.7% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (40.3%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 4th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 51.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect this game to have the 5th-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 126.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.7 pass attempts per game against the New York Jets defense this year: 9th-fewest in the league.

Calvin Austin has been one of the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL, catching a mere 55.8% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 20th percentile among wide receivers

This year, the imposing New York Jets defense has conceded a measly 58.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 4th-best rate in football.

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