My Account Log Out
 
 
Calvin Austin III

Calvin Austin III Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Calvin Austin III Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +126 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Steelers are forecasted by the projection model to call 65.9 total plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Colts defensive ends profile as the 5th-worst group of DEs in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to rushing the passer.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Steelers to be the 2nd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 50.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 32.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Indianapolis Colts defense since the start of last season: 10th-fewest in the league.
  • Calvin Austin's 47.3% Snap% this year signifies a material growth in his offensive utilization over last year's 35.1% rate.
  • When it comes to pocket protection (and the influence it has on all passing game metrics), the offensive line of the Pittsburgh Steelers profiles as the 3rd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.
  • With a mere 1.3 adjusted catches per game (19th percentile) since the start of last season, Calvin Austin ranks as one of the worst pass-catching WRs in the league.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™