My Account Log Out
 
 
Calvin Austin III

Calvin Austin III Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Washington Commanders vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Calvin Austin III Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-172/+131).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -152 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -172.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are projected by our trusted projection set to call 65.5 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The Steelers have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a massive 59.6 plays per game.
  • Calvin Austin has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this season (60.5% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (40.3%).
  • The Washington cornerbacks profile as the worst unit in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 50.8% of their opportunities: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.7 pass attempts per game against the Washington Commanders defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.
  • As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Pittsburgh Steelers profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year.
  • Calvin Austin profiles as one of the most unreliable receivers in football, catching just 53.7% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 14th percentile among WRs

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™