Caleb Williams Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 6

My Account Log Out

reorder

NBA Season Tips Off Soon — Don’t Miss the Action! 🏀 🏀 SUBSCRIBE NOW

Caleb Williams

NFL · Player Props

Caleb Williams

QB · Chicago Bears

Touchdowns

Atlanta Falcons vs Chicago Bears · Week 6, 2026

Updated Oct 18, 2026 1:07 PM EST

Analysis

Caleb Williams Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+367/-460).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is projected by the projections to see 135.0 plays on offense called: the most on the slate this week.
The Bears have run the most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 67.2 plays per game.
The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.
The Atlanta Falcons defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing offenses to attempt the most passes in the NFL (45.8 per game) this year.
This year, the imposing Atlanta Falcons run defense has yielded a measly 0.60 touchdowns on the ground per game to opposing offenses: the 5th-smallest rate in the league.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Chicago Bears to be the 9th-most run-focused offense in the NFL near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 46.6% red zone run rate.
This year, the daunting Atlanta Falcons defense has conceded a meager 68.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 10th-smallest rate in the NFL.
The Atlanta Falcons safeties project as the 5th-best safety corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

More Caleb Williams Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow