Caleb Williams Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Caleb Williams

NFL · Player Props

Caleb Williams

QB · Chicago Bears

Rushing Yards

Chicago Bears vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 2, 2026

Updated Sep 20, 2026 3:47 PM EST

Analysis

Caleb Williams Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (+140/-168).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ +114 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ +140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A rushing game script is implied by the Bears being a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game.
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Chicago Bears to run on 50.7% of their chances: the highest rate on the slate this week.
The leading projections forecast this game to see the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 133.0 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
The 2nd-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Chicago Bears since the start of last season (a massive 60.7 per game on average).
The weather report calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

Favors Under

The Vikings defense has produced the 9th-best efficiency against opposing running games since the start of last season, conceding just 4.16 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).
When it comes to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Minnesota's DE corps has been one of the most skilled since the start of last season, profiling as the best in football.

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