Caleb Williams Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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NFL · Player Props

Caleb Williams

QB · Chicago Bears

Passing Yards

Atlanta Falcons vs Chicago Bears · Week 6, 2026

Updated Oct 18, 2026 12:37 PM EST

Analysis

Caleb Williams Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 234.5 (-112/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 219.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 234.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is projected by the projections to see 135.0 plays on offense called: the most on the slate this week.
The Bears have run the most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 67.2 plays per game.
The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.
The Atlanta Falcons defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing offenses to attempt the most passes in the NFL (45.8 per game) this year.
Opposing quarterbacks have thrown for the 5th-most adjusted yards in football (261.0 per game) vs. the Atlanta Falcons defense this year.

Favors Under

With a 59.3% rate of passing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 9th-least pass-centric team in the league has been the Chicago Bears.
This year, the imposing Falcons defense has conceded the 4th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing offenses: a mere 7.0 yards.
The Atlanta Falcons safeties project as the 5th-best safety corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.