Caleb Williams Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Caleb Williams

NFL · Player Props

Caleb Williams

QB · Chicago Bears

Passing Yards

Chicago Bears vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 2, 2026

Updated Sep 20, 2026 3:47 PM EST

Analysis

Caleb Williams Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 229.5 (+102/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 224.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 229.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast this game to see the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 133.0 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
The 2nd-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Chicago Bears since the start of last season (a massive 60.7 per game on average).
When it comes to pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Chicago Bears grades out as the 7th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season, the shaky Vikings defense has given up the most yards-after-the-catch in football to the opposing side: a massive 0.54 YAC.
As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Minnesota's safety corps has been awful since the start of last season, ranking as the worst in football.

Favors Under

A rushing game script is implied by the Bears being a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game.
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Chicago Bears to pass on 49.3% of their chances: the lowest frequency among all teams this week.
The weather report calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Minnesota Vikings defense since the start of last season: fewest in the NFL.
Opposing quarterbacks have thrown for the fewest yards in the league (just 169.0 adjusted yards per game) against the Vikings defense since the start of last season.

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