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Caleb Huntley

Caleb Huntley Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 11

Atlanta Falcons vs Chicago Bears

Caleb Huntley Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+391/-821).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +420 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +391.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the most run-centric offense in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 52.6% red zone run rate.
  • The Atlanta Falcons O-line ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year in run blocking.
  • Opposing offenses have run for the most touchdowns in the league (1.70 per game) versus the Chicago Bears defense this year.
  • The Chicago Bears defensive ends grade out as the 3rd-worst collection of DEs in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have incorporated some form of misdirection on 53.2% of their plays since the start of last season (7th-most in the league), which can keep the defense guessing and improve offensive efficiency.

  • THE BLITZ projects the Falcons to run the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have run the 2nd-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 53.6 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Caleb Huntley to be much less involved in his offense's run game near the end zone this week (18.1% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (37.5% in games he has played).
  • The Atlanta Falcons have been faced with a stacked the box on 17.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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