Cade Otton Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+567/-614).
Key Factors
Favors Over
After totaling 24.0 air yards per game last season, Cade Otton has been rising this season, now pacing 31.0 per game.
Cade Otton's 36.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive usage) has been significantly better this year than it was last year at 29.0.
Opposing teams have run for the 10th-fewest TDs in football (0.80 per game) vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year.
The Pittsburgh Steelers linebackers profile as the 2nd-best unit in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.
Favors Under
Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Buccaneers to pass on 52.2% of their plays: the 2nd-lowest clip among all teams this week.
Right now, the 10th-most run-oriented offense in the league in the red zone (45.8% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Buccaneers.
Our trusted projections expect this game to see the fewest plays run among all games this week at 125.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The forecast calls for 15-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.4 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 7th-fewest in the league.