Cade Otton Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Cade Otton

NFL · Player Props

Cade Otton

TE · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Touchdowns

Dallas Cowboys vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 5, 2026

Updated Oct 8, 2026 9:12 PM EST

Analysis

Cade Otton Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+471/-506).

Key Factors

Favors Over

At a -9-point disadvantage, the Buccaneers are huge underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of a focus on passing than their typical game plan.
The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.
After accumulating 24.0 air yards per game last year, Cade Otton has been rising this year, now boasting 35.0 per game.
Cade Otton's 38.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been notably higher this year than it was last year at 29.0.
Since the start of last season, the shaky Dallas Cowboys defense has surrendered a massive 76.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the highest rate in football.

Favors Under

At the present time, the 5th-least pass-heavy team in the NFL (57.9% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
The projections expect the Buccaneers to call the 8th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 6th-fewest in the NFL.
Cade Otton's receiving reliability have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate shrinking from 74.8% to 61.9%.
The receiving touchdown line reads "0" on Cade Otton's stats page this year.

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