Cade Otton Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Cade Otton

NFL · Player Props

Cade Otton

TE · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Touchdowns

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Green Bay Packers · Week 4, 2026

Updated Oct 4, 2026 7:42 PM EST

Analysis

Cade Otton Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+610/-640).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This week's spread implies a passing game script for the Buccaneers, who are -3-point underdogs.
With a 80.0% rate of throwing the ball near the goal line (context-neutralized) this year, the most pass-centric offense in the NFL in this regard has been the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Buccaneers are predicted by our trusted projection set to run 64.4 total plays in this contest: the 8th-highest number among all teams this week.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the 8th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 58.4 plays per game.
The Packers defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, leading opposing offenses to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (33.6 per game) since the start of last season.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Buccaneers to pass on 54.7% of their opportunities: the 6th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
Cade Otton's 61.5% Adjusted Catch Rate this year signifies a noteable diminishment in his receiving prowess over last year's 74.8% figure.
Cade Otton ranks in the 19th percentile among TEs when it comes to catching touchdowns since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 0.05 per game.
The Green Bay Packers safeties grade out as the 5th-best unit in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.

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