Cade Otton Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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NFL · Player Props

Cade Otton

TE · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Touchdowns

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 3, 2026

Updated Sep 27, 2026 7:57 PM EST

Analysis

Cade Otton Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+405/-495).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Buccaneers have been the 3rd-most pass-focused offense in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) this year with a 77.3% red zone pass rate.
The 10th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Buccaneers since the start of last season (a whopping 58.3 per game on average).
With an extraordinary 15.4% Red Zone Target Share (80th percentile) this year, Cade Otton places as one of the TEs with the highest volume near the goal line in the NFL.
As it relates to air yards, Cade Otton ranks in the towering 79th percentile among TEs since the start of last season, totaling an impressive 25.0 per game.
Cade Otton's 29.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive volume) ranks him among the best in the NFL: 78th percentile for TEs.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast this game to see the smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 120.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 28.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Minnesota Vikings defense since the start of last season: 2nd-fewest in football.
With a dreadful ratio of just 0.05 per game through the air (21st percentile), Cade Otton stands among the worst receiving touchdown-scorers in the NFL when it comes to TEs since the start of last season.
The Minnesota Vikings pass defense has allowed the lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (66.3%) versus tight ends since the start of last season (66.3%).
The Minnesota Vikings defense has yielded the 4th-fewest receiving TDs in the league to tight ends: 0.32 per game since the start of last season.