Cade Otton Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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NFL · Player Props

Cade Otton

TE · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Touchdowns

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Cleveland Browns · Week 2, 2026

Updated Sep 20, 2026 7:37 PM EST

Analysis

Cade Otton Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+296/-359).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ 0 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -359.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 77.8% rate of throwing the ball near the goal line (context-neutralized) this year, the 6th-most pass-focused team in the league in this respect has been the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Cade Otton has posted a whopping 24.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 77th percentile when it comes to TEs.
Cade Otton's 29.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in the NFL: 79th percentile for tight ends.
Since the start of last season, the tough Browns run defense has given up a paltry 0.78 rushing TDs per game to opposing teams: the 9th-smallest rate in football.
The Browns defensive ends grade out as the 3rd-best DE corps in the league since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.

Favors Under

With a 8-point advantage, the Buccaneers are a heavy favorite this week, implying much more of a reliance on running than their standard game plan.
The leading projections forecast the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 4th-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 51.6% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The model projects this game to see the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 121.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 28.5 pass attempts per game versus the Browns defense since the start of last season: 2nd-fewest in the league.
Cade Otton's 63.7% Adjusted Completion Rate this year reflects a noteworthy decrease in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 74.8% mark.