Cade Otton Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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NFL · Player Props

Cade Otton

TE · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Receptions

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Green Bay Packers · Week 4, 2026

Updated Oct 4, 2026 7:42 PM EST

Analysis

Cade Otton Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-133/+130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ 0 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This week's spread implies a passing game script for the Buccaneers, who are -3-point underdogs.
Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Buccaneers are predicted by our trusted projection set to run 64.4 total plays in this contest: the 8th-highest number among all teams this week.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the 8th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 58.4 plays per game.
The Packers defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, leading opposing offenses to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (33.6 per game) since the start of last season.
Cade Otton has run a route on 84.2% of his team's passing plays this year, placing him in the 97th percentile when it comes to TEs.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Buccaneers to pass on 54.7% of their opportunities: the 6th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
Cade Otton's 61.5% Adjusted Catch Rate this year signifies a noteable diminishment in his receiving prowess over last year's 74.8% figure.
The Green Bay Packers safeties grade out as the 5th-best unit in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.