Cade Otton Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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NFL · Player Props

Cade Otton

TE · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Receptions

Cincinnati Bengals vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 1, 2026

Updated Sep 13, 2026 4:32 PM EST

Analysis

Cade Otton Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+112/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +116 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This week's line suggests a passing game script for the Buccaneers, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the 9th-most plays in football last year, totaling a massive 58.9 plays per game.
Cade Otton has run a route on 87.0% of his offense's passing plays last year, ranking him in the 97th percentile among TEs.
Our trusted projections expect Cade Otton to accumulate 4.1 targets in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 76th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
With a stellar 3.3 adjusted catches per game (84th percentile) last year, Cade Otton stands among the top tight ends in the pass game in the NFL.

Favors Under

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Buccaneers to pass on 55.2% of their chances: the 5th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
The predictive model expects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Cincinnati's unit has been fantastic last year, projecting as the 7th-best in the league.