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Cade Otton

Cade Otton Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Cade Otton Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Buccaneers are a 3-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Buccaneers to pass on 63.3% of their opportunities: the highest clip among all teams this week.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 128.1 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Cade Otton has run a route on 86.2% of his team's passing plays this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile among TEs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

As it relates to pocket protection (and the effect it has on all air attack stats), the offensive line of the Buccaneers grades out as the 9th-worst in the league this year.

The Falcons pass defense has surrendered the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (70.1%) vs. tight ends since the start of last season (70.1%).

When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Atlanta's collection of safeties has been fantastic this year, ranking as the 8th-best in the league.

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