Cade Otton Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Cade Otton

NFL · Player Props

Cade Otton

TE · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Receptions

New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 1, 2023 9:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Cade Otton Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-155/+125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +145 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Buccaneers are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 62.5 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Cade Otton has run a route on 65.7% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, placing him in the 78th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line profiles as the 2nd-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

Favors Under

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Dave Canales, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to tilt 7.5% more towards rushing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
The New Orleans Saints pass defense has yielded the lowest Completion% in the NFL (56.7%) vs. TEs since the start of last season (56.7%).
The Saints defensive tackles project as the 6th-best DT corps in the league since the start of last season when it comes to rushing the passer.

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