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Cade Otton

Cade Otton Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Cade Otton Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-180/+140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -175 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -180.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Buccaneers are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
  • The model projects this game to see the 5th-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 129.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 63.7 plays per game.
  • The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Cade Otton has run a route on 65.1% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, placing him in the 80th percentile among TEs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Dave Canales, and their pass/run mix to lean 8.0% more towards rushing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the least pass-oriented team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 59.0% pass rate.

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