My Account Log Out

reorder

Cade Otton

Cade Otton Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Detroit Lions vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Cade Otton Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-190/+145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ +145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's line implies a passing game script for the Buccaneers, who are -6-point underdogs.

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Buccaneers to pass on 64.0% of their chances: the 2nd-highest frequency on the slate this week.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by the model to have 129.8 total plays run: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

Cade Otton has run a route on 88.3% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, putting him in the 99th percentile among tight ends.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 6th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Buccaneers since the start of last season (a lowly 56.4 per game on average).

Cade Otton rates as one of the worst possession receivers in football among TEs, hauling in a mere 69.0% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, grading out in the 23rd percentile.

Since the start of last season, the stout Detroit Lions defense has allowed a meager 68.4% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing tight ends: the 3rd-smallest rate in football.

The Lions linebackers grade out as the 7th-best unit in the NFL since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

More Cade Otton Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™