Byron Pringle Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

NFL · Player Props

Byron Pringle

WR · Chicago Bears

Receptions

Chicago Bears vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:26 AM UTC

Analysis

Byron Pringle Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-155/+116).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -154 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bears are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects Byron Pringle to be a much bigger part of his team's pass attack this week (13.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (5.6% in games he has played).
Byron Pringle has been among the most reliable receivers in football, completing a stellar 74.1% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 87th percentile among wideouts.
The Chicago Bears O-line has afforded their QB 2.51 seconds before getting pressured (10th-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
The Chicago Bears have gone for it on 4th down 27.3% of the time since the start of last season (3rd-most in football), which usually means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive statistics across the board.

Favors Under

The Chicago Bears boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Luke Getsy, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 7.5% more towards rushing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears to be the least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 43.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears offense as the 6th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 29.42 seconds per play.
The weather report calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
Opposing offenses have averaged 34.2 pass attempts per game versus the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 9th-least in football.