Byron Pringle Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

NFL · Player Props

Byron Pringle

WR · Chicago Bears

Receiving Yards

Chicago Bears vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 11:34 PM UTC

Analysis

Byron Pringle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (+105/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bears are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
Byron Pringle has been among the most sure-handed receivers in the league, catching a stellar 73.9% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 83rd percentile among wideouts.
Byron Pringle has been among the most effective pass-catchers in the NFL, averaging an impressive 9.61 yards-per-target since the start of last season while checking in at the 85th percentile among wide receivers.
Byron Pringle has been among the top WRs in football at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a stellar 4.50 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 76th percentile.
The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has allowed the 5th-highest Completion% in the NFL (68.4%) vs. wide receivers since the start of last season (68.4%).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears as the 5th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 53.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Bears to run the 2nd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 58.9 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game against the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 5th-least in football.
The Chicago Bears have faced a stacked the box on a measly 14.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-least in the league. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Chicago Bears have incorporated play action on a mere 23.7% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (10th-least in the NFL), which ultimately hampers passing efficiency.