Bryce Young Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Bryce Young

NFL · Player Props

Bryce Young

QB · Carolina Panthers

Touchdowns

Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 7, 2026

Updated Oct 21, 2026 8:22 AM EST

Analysis

Bryce Young Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+488/-789).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +454 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +488.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects the Carolina Panthers to be the 2nd-most pass-focused offense in football near the goal line (adjusted for context) right now with a 62.6% red zone pass rate.
The predictive model expects the Carolina Panthers offense to be the 3rd-fastest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 26.16 seconds per play.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, causing opposing teams to attempt the 10th-most passes in the league (37.8 per game) this year.
With a fantastic ratio of 1.83 per game (86th percentile), Bryce Young has been among the best touchdown passers in the league this year.
Opposing teams have run for the 2nd-fewest TDs in the NFL (0.33 per game) against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year.

Favors Under

The Panthers are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a running game script.
While Bryce Young has earned 0.0% of his offense's red zone rush attempts in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a much bigger part of Carolina's run game near the end zone in this contest at 10.6%.
The Carolina O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful influence on all passing offense stats across the board.
Bryce Young's 60.3% Adjusted Completion% this season represents a meaningful diminishment in his passing precision over last season's 64.1% mark.
Bryce Young has run for 0.17 TDs per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the largest figures in the NFL when it comes to QBs (83rd percentile).

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