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Bryce Young

Bryce Young TD Passes
Player Prop Week 9

Carolina Panthers vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Bryce Young TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-192/+146).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -184 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -192.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -7-point disadvantage, the Panthers are enormous underdogs in this game, implying much more of a focus on passing than their standard game plan.
  • At the present time, the 9th-most pass-focused offense in football in the red zone (58.6% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Panthers.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game against the New Orleans Saints defense this year: 5th-most in the league.
  • When it comes to cornerbacks in defending receivers, New Orleans's CB corps has been atrocious this year, grading out as the 7th-worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Carolina Panthers to pass on 53.9% of their plays: the 9th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • The predictive model expects the Panthers to call the 9th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 63.6 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The 5th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Carolina Panthers this year (only 54.0 per game on average).
  • In this week's contest, Bryce Young is predicted by the projection model to total the 7th-fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 32.0.
  • Bryce Young is positioned as one of the least on-target passers in football this year with a 61.5% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 23rd percentile.

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