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Bryce Young

Bryce Young TD Passes
Player Prop Week 2

Carolina Panthers vs Los Angeles Chargers

Bryce Young TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-220/+163).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +170 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +163.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is implied by the Panthers being a -5-point underdog in this week's game.

With a 100.0% rate of throwing the ball near the goal line (in a neutral context) this year, the most pass-centric offense in football in this respect has been the Carolina Panthers.

The 3rd-highest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Carolina Panthers since the start of last season (a monstrous 60.7 per game on average).

Opposing teams have averaged 35.3 pass attempts per game against the Chargers defense since the start of last season: 8th-most in the league.

Since the start of last season, the deficient Los Angeles Chargers defense has given up a monstrous 1.50 TDs through the air per game to opposing QBs: the 8th-worst rate in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Carolina Panthers to pass on 53.9% of their chances: the 7th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

Our trusted projections expect the Panthers to call the fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.1 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Panthers have played in the 10th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which should result in reduced pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced offense effectiveness when facing windier conditions in this week's contest.

The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.

The predictive model expects Bryce Young to throw 31.1 passes in this week's game, on balance: the 5th-fewest out of all quarterbacks.

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