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Bryce Young

Bryce Young TD Passes
Player Prop Week 13

Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Bryce Young TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+200/-250).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -230 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -250.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A passing game script is implied by the Panthers being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • The Buccaneers defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, causing opposing teams to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (38.7 per game) this year.
  • This year, the poor Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has yielded a staggering 73.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 7th-worst rate in football.
  • The Buccaneers defense has conceded the 5th-most passing TDs in the league: 1.82 per game this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Right now, the 6th-least pass-focused offense in the league (57.0% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Panthers.
  • The leading projections forecast the Panthers to call the 10th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 63.9 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The Panthers have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 53.4 plays per game.
  • The predictive model expects Bryce Young to attempt 33.4 passes in this game, on average: the 11th-fewest among all QBs.
  • With a bad 61.7% Adjusted Completion% (12th percentile) this year, Bryce Young has been among the least on-target quarterbacks in football.

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