Bryce Young Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Bryce Young

NFL · Player Props

Bryce Young

QB · Carolina Panthers

Rushing Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 4, 2023 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Bryce Young Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-117/-117).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -117.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Carolina Panthers have run the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 62.4 plays per game.
In regards to run support (and the effect it has on all run game stats), the offensive line of the Carolina Panthers ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL last year.
Bryce Young's rushing effectiveness (6.10 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league this year (80th percentile among QBs).
With an outstanding tally of 4.12 yards-after-contact (94th percentile), Bryce Young stands among the best rushing quarterbacks in the NFL this year.
The Tampa Bay defensive ends rank as the worst DE corps in the league this year in regard to run defense.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Carolina Panthers offensive scheme to tilt 7.2% more towards the passing game than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Thomas Brown now calling the plays.
At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Panthers are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their typical approach.
The predictive model expects the Carolina Panthers to be the 9th-least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 42.0% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect the Panthers to run the 9th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 64.5 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The leading projections forecast Bryce Young to notch 2.4 rush attempts in this week's game, on balance: the 6th-fewest out of all QBs.

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