Bryce Young Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Bryce Young

NFL · Player Props

Bryce Young

QB · Carolina Panthers

Rushing Yards

Atlanta Falcons vs Carolina Panthers · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 10, 2023 7:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Bryce Young Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers as the 6th-most run-heavy offense in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 42.1% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects Bryce Young to notch 5.1 carries in this contest, on average: the 9th-most of all quarterbacks.
The Carolina Panthers offensive line grades out as the 10th-best in the league since the start of last season at run-game blocking.
Opposing teams have rushed for the 9th-most yards in the league (134 per game) against the Atlanta Falcons defense since the start of last season.
The Atlanta Falcons safeties project as the 26th-worst safety corps in the league since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.

Favors Under

The Carolina Panthers boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Thomas Brown, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.8% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
The Panthers are a 3.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Panthers to call the 4th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Carolina Panthers have run the 2nd-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a measly 53.2 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

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