Bryce Young Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

reorder

We’re hiring: Junior AI Product & Automation Engineer — Freelance → Learn More

NFL · Player Props

Bryce Young

QB · Carolina Panthers

Passing Yards

Carolina Panthers vs Detroit Lions · Week 4, 2026

Updated Oct 2, 2026 10:07 AM EST

Analysis

Bryce Young Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 249.5 (-104/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 224.5 @ -184 before it was bet up to 249.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A passing game script is indicated by the Panthers being a -3.5-point underdog in this game.
Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Panthers to pass on 60.5% of their chances: the 6th-highest clip on the slate this week.
The leading projections forecast this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 134.5 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
In this game, Bryce Young is projected by the predictive model to wind up with the 3rd-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 37.9.
The Lions defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (33.7 per game) since the start of last season.

Favors Under

Bryce Young's passing accuracy has diminished this year, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 64.1% to 60.0%.
Since the start of last season, the strong Detroit Lions defense has yielded a paltry 67.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 7th-lowest rate in football.
The Lions defense has performed very well when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 3.02 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 3rd-fewest in football.