Bryce Young Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Bryce Young

NFL · Player Props

Bryce Young

QB · Carolina Panthers

Carries

Carolina Panthers vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 1, 2023 4:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Bryce Young Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +135 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects the Panthers as the 9th-most run-centric team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 40.9% run rate.
The model projects this game to have the 3rd-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Panthers O-line profiles as the 10th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in run blocking.

Favors Under

The Panthers boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Thomas Brown, and The leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to tilt 5.9% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
The Panthers are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
The Panthers have run the 4th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 54.9 plays per game.
Vikings defensive tackles rank as the 3rd-best DT corps in the NFL since the start of last season with their run defense.

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