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Bryce Young

Bryce Young Carries
Player Prop Week 4

Carolina Panthers vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Bryce Young Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +135 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Panthers as the 9th-most run-centric team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 40.9% run rate.
  • The model projects this game to have the 3rd-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Panthers O-line profiles as the 10th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in run blocking.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Panthers boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Thomas Brown, and The leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to tilt 5.9% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • The Panthers are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The Panthers have run the 4th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 54.9 plays per game.
  • Vikings defensive tackles rank as the 3rd-best DT corps in the NFL since the start of last season with their run defense.

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