Bryan Edwards Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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NFL · Player Props

Bryan Edwards

WR · Atlanta Falcons

Receiving Yards

Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 11:34 PM EST

Analysis

Bryan Edwards Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (+107/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Falcons are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Bryan Edwards has been among the most effective receivers in football, averaging a terrific 9.30 yards-per-target since the start of last season while checking in at the 76th percentile among wide receivers.
Bryan Edwards has been among the best wide receivers in football at generating extra yardage, averaging a terrific 5.59 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 89th percentile.
The New Orleans Saints defense has allowed the 9th-most receiving yards per game in the NFL (154.0) versus wideouts since the start of last season.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 6th-least pass-oriented team in football (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 59.2% pass rate.
The Atlanta Falcons have run the 2nd-least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 58.5 plays per game.
The Atlanta Falcons offensive line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
Bryan Edwards has been among the most hard-handed receivers in the league, hauling in a measly 57.9% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 13th percentile among wideouts
The New Orleans Saints cornerbacks project as the 4th-best unit in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.