Brock Wright Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+852/-1076).
Key Factors
Favors Over
Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Lions are anticipated by the projections to run 67.8 total plays in this contest: the 2nd-most among all teams this week.
The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may decline.
Since the start of last season, the feeble Panthers defense has given up a monstrous 0.50 receiving TDs per game to opposing TEs: the 8th-biggest rate in football.
Favors Under
The Lions are a 4-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a running game script.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.3 pass attempts per game versus the Panthers defense since the start of last season: 9th-fewest in the NFL.
With a low 0.0% Red Zone Target Share (1st percentile) this year, Brock Wright ranks among the TEs with the biggest workloads near the end zone in football.
Brock Wright's 4.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive usage) has been significantly lower this season than it was last season at 10.4.
The Detroit Lions offensive line grades out as the 9th-worst in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a harmful influence on all pass game statistics across the board.