Brock Wright Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Brock Wright

NFL · Player Props

Brock Wright

TE · Detroit Lions

Touchdowns

Detroit Lions vs New York Jets · Week 3, 2026

Updated Sep 27, 2026 1:12 PM EST

Analysis

Brock Wright Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1075/-1427).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions offense to be the 8th-fastest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 27.59 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
With a remarkable rate of 0.25 per game through the air (75th percentile), Brock Wright places among the leading receiving touchdown-scorers in the league when it comes to TEs since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season, the weak Jets defense has allowed a whopping 0.53 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing TEs: the 7th-largest rate in football.
As it relates to the safeties' role in defending against the run, New York's unit has been outstanding since the start of last season, grading out as the 2nd-best in the league.

Favors Under

With a 6.5-point advantage, the Lions are favored in this week's contest, implying more of a reliance on running than their standard game plan.
Brock Wright has been been lightly used his team's pass game near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of just 0.0% this year, which ranks him in the 1st percentile among tight ends.
In regards to protecting the passer (and the importance it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Lions profiles as the 7th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season, the porous Jets run defense has allowed a whopping 1.05 TDs on the ground per game to the opposing side: the 9th-highest rate in the league.

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