Brock Wright Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+852/-1349).
Key Factors
Favors Over
The projections expect this game to see the most plays run on the slate this week at 134.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop.
With an outstanding ratio of 0.29 per game through the air (81st percentile), Brock Wright stands as one of the leading receiving touchdown-scorers in the league when it comes to TEs last year.
Last year, the stout New Orleans Saints run defense has conceded a feeble 0.71 touchdowns on the ground per game to opposing teams: the 6th-best rate in the NFL.
The New Orleans Saints safeties rank as the 10th-worst safety corps in the league last year in defending pass-catchers.
Favors Under
The Lions are a giant 7-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to test the pass defense of the New Orleans Saints, totaling the 2nd-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 28.3 per game) last year.
The Detroit O-line profiles as the 8th-worst in the NFL last year in pass protection, which has a negative influence on all pass game statistics across the board.
Last year, the fierce Saints defense has surrendered a puny 73.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 10th-best rate in football.