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Brock Wright

Brock Wright Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

Cincinnati Bengals vs Detroit Lions

Brock Wright Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1400/-6750).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -3800 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -6750.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing teams have averaged 39.2 pass attempts per game against the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 8th-most in the league.

Brock Wright rates as one of the best possession receivers in the NFL among tight ends, catching an excellent 83.2% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, ranking in the 77th percentile.

Brock Wright grades out in the 83rd percentile among TEs when it comes to catching touchdowns since the start of last season, averaging an excellent 0.27 per game.

The Bengals defense has conceded the 6th-most receiving touchdowns in football to TEs: 0.50 per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's line suggests an extreme running game script for the Lions, who are a massive favorite by 10 points.

Our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions to be the 3rd-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 53.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect the Lions to be the 10th-most run-centric team in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 45.5% red zone run rate.

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 3rd-smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Brock Wright has accrued a meager 1.0 air yards per game this year: just 23rd percentile when it comes to TEs.

More Brock Wright Player Props

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