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Brock Wright

Brock Wright Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings

Brock Wright Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 134.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Opposing offenses have averaged 38.8 pass attempts per game against the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.

The Minnesota Vikings safeties grade out as the 9th-worst collection of safeties in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

The Minnesota Vikings defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.56 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 3rd-most sluggish in the league since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Detroit Lions offensive line profiles as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all pass attack stats across the board.

The Detroit Lions O-line has allowed their quarterback a mere 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

The Detroit Lions have incorporated play action on a measly 22.0% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (5th-least in the league), creating a more one-dimensional offense that hurts passing production.

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