Brock Wright Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Brock Wright

NFL · Player Props

Brock Wright

TE · Detroit Lions

Receiving Yards

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers · Week 7, 2026

Updated Oct 25, 2026 8:37 PM EST

Analysis

Brock Wright Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-102/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +108 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Lions to pass on 61.1% of their downs: the 7th-highest frequency among all teams this week.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by the model to see 137.4 plays on offense called: the most out of all the games this week.
The 6th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Detroit Lions this year (a monstrous 61.8 per game on average).
The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.
As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Lions ranks as the 6th-best in the NFL this year.

Favors Under

The Lions are a 4-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
Brock Wright has totaled quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (7.0) this season than he did last season (16.0).
Brock Wright's pass-game efficiency has tailed off this year, accumulating a mere 4.59 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 5.87 figure last year.
The Packers defense has yielded the 5th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 40.0) vs. tight ends this year.
This year, the stout Green Bay Packers defense has conceded the 4th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing TEs: a mere 6.0 yards.

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