Brock Wright Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Brock Wright

NFL · Player Props

Brock Wright

TE · Detroit Lions

Receiving Yards

Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 11, 2022 5:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Brock Wright Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 134.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing offenses have averaged 38.8 pass attempts per game against the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.
The Minnesota Vikings defense has surrendered the 5th-most receiving yards per game in the NFL (58.0) to TEs this year.
The Minnesota Vikings pass defense has displayed weak efficiency vs. TEs this year, surrendering 8.18 yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-most in the NFL.

Favors Under

The Detroit Lions offensive line profiles as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
The Detroit Lions O-line has allowed their quarterback a mere 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.
The Detroit Lions have incorporated play action on a measly 22.0% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (5th-least in the league), creating a more one-dimensional offense that hurts passing production.

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