Brock Wright Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Brock Wright

NFL · Player Props

Brock Wright

TE · Detroit Lions

Receiving TD

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 13, 2022 5:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Brock Wright Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+436/-996).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Lions are a 3-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
The Chicago Bears defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.51 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-slowest in football since the start of last season.
The Detroit Lions have elected to go for it on 4th down 27.9% of the time since the start of last season (most in the NFL), which usually means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive statistics across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 29.0 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense this year: 2nd-least in football.
The Detroit Lions O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
The Chicago Bears safeties profile as the 4th-best safety corps in the league this year in covering receivers.
The Detroit Lions offensive line has allowed their QB just 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all air attack metrics across the board.

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