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Brock Purdy

Brock Purdy TD Passes
Player Prop Week 6

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers

Brock Purdy TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-156/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -156.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 3rd-most plays in the NFL have been called by the San Francisco 49ers this year (a massive 61.2 per game on average).

This year, the anemic Seattle Seahawks defense has been torched for a staggering 74.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 7th-largest rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 5-point advantage, the 49ers are favored this week, indicating more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical game plan.

The leading projections forecast the 49ers to be the 6th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 53.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The 49ers have been the 10th-least pass-oriented offense in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) this year with a 50.6% red zone pass rate.

Our trusted projections expect the 49ers to run the 5th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The predictive model expects Brock Purdy to attempt 31.2 passes in this week's game, on balance: the 8th-fewest among all QBs.

More Brock Purdy Player Props

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