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Brock Purdy

Brock Purdy Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

San Francisco 49ers vs Arizona Cardinals

Brock Purdy Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's spread implies an extreme running game script for the 49ers, who are a massive favorite by 9.5 points.

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the San Francisco 49ers to run on 49.3% of their downs: the 3rd-greatest rate among all teams this week.

The 2nd-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the 49ers this year (a monstrous 61.8 per game on average).

After making up 6.9% of his team's carries last year, Brock Purdy has been more involved in the rushing attack this year, now comprising 14.7%.

Brock Purdy has rushed for substantially more yards per game (18.0) this season than he did last season (9.0).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the 49ers are expected by the projections to run just 61.6 plays on offense in this game: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.

Brock Purdy's ground effectiveness has worsened this year, notching a measly 4.18 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 5.16 figure last year.

As it relates to the safeties' role in run defense, Arizona's group of safeties has been one of the most skilled this year, projecting as the 4th-best in football.

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