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Brock Purdy
NFL · Player Props
Brock Purdy
QB · San Francisco 49ers
Rushing Yards
Buffalo Bills vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 13, 2024 Updated Dec 2, 2024 1:16 AM EST
NFL Props Brock Purdy Rushing Yards

Brock Purdy Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-106/-129).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -129.

Favors Over
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the 49ers to run on 44.5% of their plays: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
  • The predictive model expects Brock Purdy to notch 4.2 carries in this contest, on balance: the 10th-most out of all quarterbacks.
  • The Bills defensive tackles profile as the 9th-worst collection of DTs in the league this year with their run defense.
Favors Under
  • A passing game script is implied by the 49ers being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • The predictive model expects the 49ers to run the fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.5 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The 49ers have run the 10th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 56.8 plays per game.
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