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Brock Purdy

Brock Purdy Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Green Bay Packers vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Brock Purdy Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-109/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect Brock Purdy to garner 4.5 carries in this game, on average: the 9th-most out of all QBs.
  • Brock Purdy has been a much bigger part of his offense's rushing attack this year (16.1% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (6.9%).
  • Brock Purdy has rushed for significantly more yards per game (26.0) this year than he did last year (9.0).
  • As it relates to the linebackers' role in run defense, Green Bay's LB corps has been easily exploitable this year, profiling as the 4th-worst in football. in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the 49ers are underdogs this week, implying more of a reliance on passing than their usual game plan.
  • The projections expect this game to have the 2nd-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 126.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

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