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Brock Purdy

Brock Purdy Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

San Francisco 49ers vs Kansas City Chiefs

Brock Purdy Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 252.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 248.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 252.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 49ers have called the 5th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 60.3 plays per game.

Opposing QBs have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Chiefs defense this year: 9th-most in football.

Brock Purdy profiles as one of the leading quarterbacks in the league this year, averaging an impressive 270.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 95th percentile.

With a terrific 8.75 adjusted yards-per-target (100th percentile) this year, Brock Purdy rates among the best per-play quarterbacks in football.

This year, the shaky Chiefs defense has yielded the 5th-most yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing offenses: a massive 5.58 YAC.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the 49ers are projected by the projection model to run only 61.9 total plays in this contest: the 4th-fewest among all teams this week.

The model projects Brock Purdy to throw 32.4 passes this week, on balance: the 10th-fewest among all QBs.

Brock Purdy's 65.4% Adjusted Completion% this season illustrates a substantial decrease in his passing precision over last season's 69.6% rate.

This year, the fierce Chiefs defense has allowed a feeble 67.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 7th-smallest rate in football.

The Kansas City cornerbacks project as the 5th-best collection of CBs in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

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