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Brock Purdy

Brock Purdy Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Brock Purdy Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 249.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 249.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 249.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 3rd-most plays in the NFL have been called by the San Francisco 49ers this year (a massive 61.2 per game on average).
  • Brock Purdy rates as one of the top QBs in the NFL this year, averaging an outstanding 278.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 86th percentile.
  • With a terrific 8.87 adjusted yards-per-target (100th percentile) this year, Brock Purdy stands as one of the most efficient passers in the league.
  • This year, the anemic Seattle Seahawks defense has been torched for a staggering 74.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 7th-largest rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 5-point advantage, the 49ers are favored this week, indicating more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical game plan.
  • The leading projections forecast the 49ers to be the 6th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 53.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect the 49ers to run the 5th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects Brock Purdy to attempt 31.2 passes in this week's game, on balance: the 8th-fewest among all QBs.
  • As it relates to protecting the passer (and the importance it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the 49ers profiles as the 10th-worst in the league this year.

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