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Brock Purdy

Brock Purdy Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

San Francisco 49ers vs Arizona Cardinals

Brock Purdy Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 264.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 263.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 264.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 2nd-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the 49ers this year (a monstrous 61.8 per game on average).

With an excellent total of 281.0 adjusted passing yards per game (97th percentile), Brock Purdy rates as one of the best quarterbacks in football this year.

Brock Purdy grades out as one of the most efficient quarterbacks in football this year, averaging a remarkable 9.22 adjusted yards-per-target while checking in at the 100th percentile.

Since the start of last season, the deficient Cardinals defense has yielded a whopping 74.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the highest rate in the NFL.

The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has displayed bad efficiency since the start of last season, allowing 8.15 adjusted yards-per-target: the 4th-most in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread implies an extreme running game script for the 49ers, who are a massive favorite by 9.5 points.

Our trusted projections expect the San Francisco 49ers to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 50.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the 49ers are expected by the projections to run just 61.6 plays on offense in this game: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.

In this week's game, Brock Purdy is projected by our trusted projection set to wind up with the 7th-fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 29.4.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 25.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Cardinals defense this year: fewest in football.

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