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Brock Purdy

Brock Purdy Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers

Brock Purdy Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 230.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 232.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 230.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while run volume may suffer.

The Rams defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 10th-most passes in the league (34.9 per game) since the start of last season.

With an impressive tally of 249.0 adjusted passing yards per game (85th percentile), Brock Purdy ranks as one of the top QBs in the league since the start of last season.

Brock Purdy has been one of the most accurate quarterbacks in the league since the start of last season with an exceptional 69.3% Adjusted Completion%, ranking in the 100th percentile.

Brock Purdy checks in as one of the most efficient QBs in the league since the start of last season, averaging a fantastic 9.49 adjusted yards-per-target while checking in at the 100th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the San Francisco 49ers to pass on 54.9% of their chances: the 8th-lowest rate on the slate this week.

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the 49ers are predicted by the projection model to run only 61.7 plays on offense in this game: the 4th-lowest number among all teams this week.

The 2nd-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the San Francisco 49ers since the start of last season (a measly 54.7 per game on average).

This week, Brock Purdy is expected by our trusted projection set to average the 7th-fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 31.5.

As it relates to pass protection (and the importance it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the 49ers profiles as the 5th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.

More Brock Purdy Player Props

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