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Brock Purdy Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 255.5 (-110/-110).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 262.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 255.5 @ -110.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and lower run volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.1 pass attempts per game versus the Seahawks defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.With an exceptional rate of 268.0 adjusted passing yards per game (95th percentile), Brock Purdy stands among the top passers in football this year.With an outstanding 8.67 adjusted yards-per-target (94th percentile) this year, Brock Purdy stands as one of the best per-play quarterbacks in the league.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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A rushing game script is implied by the 49ers being a 6-point favorite in this game.Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the 49ers to pass on 53.5% of their chances: the 4th-lowest rate among all teams this week.Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the model to have just 127.3 plays on offense run: the 5th-fewest among all games this week.Brock Purdy's throwing accuracy has declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 69.6% to 65.5%.As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Seattle's collection of safeties has been tremendous this year, projecting as the 6th-best in the league.
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