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Brock Purdy

Brock Purdy Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 2

Minnesota Vikings vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Brock Purdy Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game versus the Vikings defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's spread suggests a rushing game script for the 49ers, who are favored by 6 points.
  • The model projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 11th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 56.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 124.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have run the fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a mere 54.3 plays per game.

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